How BAMF works

Create the question. Call your confidence. Challenge the room. Keep the receipt.

1. Write the market

Choose any verifiable Yes or No question, then define the exact rule, cutoff, source, and invalidation path.

2. Forecast before the reveal

Put your probability on the record before BAMF reveals public replies in this flow. Public replies may still be visible elsewhere. Private remains the default.

3. Challenge the people who matter

Send the market directly to people whose recorded calls could sharpen, confirm, or change yours.

4. Resolve from the named source

Every question carries a cutoff, source, rule, and invalidation path.

5. Build a record, not a victory lap

Calibration asks whether events forecast near 70% happen about 70% of the time.

Private by default. Public only by choice.

Your private forecasts, notes, and evidence stay private. Public questions and forecasts use deliberate sharing controls, and BAMF does not pre-fill the board with its own questions.