Will the BEA’s advance estimate show U.S. real GDP grew above 2.0% annualized in Q2 2026?

A near-term reading on U.S. economic momentum from the official advance estimate.

Closes: Jul 30, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC
Expected result: Jul 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Resolves using: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Resolution rule

Rule v1Preview

Closes Jul 30, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC · Resolves using U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

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Resolve Yes if the Bureau of Economic Analysis advance estimate reports that seasonally adjusted U.S. real GDP increased at an annualized rate strictly greater than 2.0% from Q1 to Q2 2026. Exactly 2.0% or lower resolves No. Later revisions do not change the result.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

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