Will the Federal Reserve raise rates at its September 2026 meeting?

A high-stakes policy decision resolved from the September FOMC statement.

Closes: Sep 16, 2026, 5:59 PM UTC
Expected result: Sep 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Resolves using: Federal Reserve

Resolution rule

Rule v1Preview

Closes Sep 16, 2026, 5:59 PM UTC · Resolves using Federal Reserve

Read the full rule

Resolve Yes if the upper bound of the federal funds target range announced on September 16, 2026 is higher than the upper bound in effect immediately before that announcement. A hold or cut resolves No. If no decision is announced by September 30, 2026, resolve Invalid.

Source: Federal Reserve