Will Democrats control the U.S. House after the 2026 midterms?

A national election question tied to the first Speaker vote of the 120th Congress.

Closes: Nov 3, 2026, 10:59 PM UTC
Expected result: Jan 31, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC
Resolves using: U.S. House Clerk

Resolution rule

Rule v1Preview

Closes Nov 3, 2026, 10:59 PM UTC · Resolves using U.S. House Clerk

Read the full rule

Resolve Yes if the first person elected Speaker of the House for the 120th Congress is a Democratic member of the House. Resolve No if that person is not a Democratic member. If no Speaker is elected by January 31, 2027, resolve Invalid.

Source: U.S. House Clerk