Will Anthropic own Arena’s #1-ranked text model at noon ET on December 31, 2026?

A direct AI-lab race resolved from the public Text Arena leaderboard.

Closes: Dec 31, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Expected result: Dec 31, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Resolves using: Arena Text Leaderboard

Resolution rule

Rule v1Preview

Closes Dec 31, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC · Resolves using Arena Text Leaderboard

Read the full rule

Resolve Yes if a model owned by Anthropic occupies rank 1 on Arena’s Text Arena Overall leaderboard at 12:00 ET on December 31, 2026, with style control off. If models share the displayed rank, use the underlying arena score; if still tied, order company names alphabetically.

Source: Arena Text Leaderboard